In the NHL, there’s no more delicate balancing act than navigating the tightrope between “win now” and “build for the future.”
For the Vancouver Canucks, this act has defined much of their recent history, with bold trades, aggressive deadline moves, and a willingness to sacrifice high-end draft picks for immediate help.
And with injuries to Filip Hronek and, more recently, Quinn Hughes, the temptation to add to bolster an ailing blue line is heavier than ever. Not to mention the trade deadline, which is now fast approaching, and trade rumours are running rampant in the city of Vancouver.
But in that land of pressure, there lies one major question: Can the Canucks afford to keep mortgaging their future?
The strategy of sacrificing draft picks for short-term gain has raised serious questions. While immediate results are tempting, the long-term ramifications of trading away top picks are often felt years later. And history shows that pushing those chips all in (again) may not be the best idea.
When you think of the Canucks’ current core, the importance of drafting becomes impossible to ignore. Elias Pettersson, Quinn Hughes, Thatcher Demko, and Brock Boeser — the heart and soul of the team — were all brought into the fold through the draft.
Yes, complimentary pieces are always added, a la J.T. Miller, but strong drafting provides the foundation for any team’s roster makeup.
When the dust settled at the 2024 NHL Entry Draft, the Canucks were spectators on day one and did not get their day started on day two until the back half of the third round. It marked the third time in five years without a first-round selection and the third consecutive year without a second-round pick.
While the system has begun slowly increasing its stock value, and this regime has done an impeccable job finding hidden gems in the mid-to-late tiers of the draft, there is no denying the massive drop in talent on the depth chart.
In the two years in which they did hold first-round picks, the Canucks selected two hopeful but key pieces to their future core: 2022 first-round pick Jonathan Lekkerimäki and 2023 first-rounder Tom Willander climbing the ranks.
Lekkerimäki has already established himself as a top offensive prospect, producing well at the AHL level. Meanwhile, Willander is earning rave reviews for his development as a two-way defender at Boston University and, more recently, on the world stage for Team Sweden.
With those two standing at the tip of the pyramid, the NHL certainties dip sharply.
In 2024, the Canucks didn’t step to the podium until the 93rd overall pick, selecting Swedish forward Melvin Fernström. While Fernström is an intriguing prospect with a promising bag of raw talent, the odds of a third-round pick turning into an impactful NHL player are still considerably unknown.
That sentiment carries down to many of the last few drafts. In 2023, they grabbed Sawyer Mynio (third) and Vilmer Alriksson (fourth); in 2022, they grabbed Elias Pettersson (third) and one of the best steals, Kirill Kudryavtsev (seventh). All of whom (some more than others) offer intriguing upside but no guarantee of NHL success.
The Canucks’ aggressive strategy stands in stark contrast to their Pacific Division rivals, many of whom have prioritized stockpiling draft picks.
Over the past five years, here’s how the Canucks’ draft capital stacks up against their competition: